Archive for the ‘Management’ Category

Exchange rate & investment decision. Can you disregard exchange rate?

June 20, 2012

Do you think your investment decision should always correlate with exchange rate? What kind of analysis or research you do before making an important investment decision? What should be the thesis of your investment philosophy? Are you sure that your investment decision was based on risk adjusted return?

These are the basic questions comes in a mind while considering for an investment decision. Role of exchange rate is very important in investment decision however it depends upon what kind of investment are you committing.

If FII, Private Equity, Sovereign Wealth Fund, Portfolio investors and NRI’s consider an investment decision in emerging market or some other developed alien country then exchange rate plays a very important role to make or break required rate of return (ROI). Short-term investment horizon always requires mitigating risk of exchange rate volatility. Hedging mechanism can be used to reduce exchange rate risk by doing options or future contract.

Long term investment horizon can disregard the importance of exchange rate. If there is huge volatility between exchange rate of investing country and source country then choosing long term investment horizon allows you to neglect the importance of exchange rate volatility as in the long term exchange rate become stable.

Indirect effect of exchange rate should also be considered while making overseas investment decision. For example if destination country’s currency continuously depreciating and your investment exposure were on companies that incur majority of input cost in foreign exchange like importing raw material etc. Oil industry in India is a very good example. Depreciating currency reduces the profitability and ultimately  value of your investment however opposite is also true like if your investment company is export oriented and majority of its input cost were domestically driven then it will be highly profitable with depreciating currency and increases the value of investment like IT industry in India.

NRI’s making investment in their resident country can disregard exchange rate if they opt for long term investment horizon like Fixed Deposit, Mutual Fund, Equity or even Bonds. Long term investment provides them good return as compare to foreign country and simultaneously minimizes exchange risk.

Any Foreign institution or govt. considering an investment by way of FDI in infrastructure projects like rail, road, power, transport etc requires long term investment commitment and can disregard the exchange rate as inflow from these investments will occur after long gestation period however if investments are committed to be made in different tranches then hedging mechanism like forward, future and options can be used to take the advantage of volatility of currency.

Finally, conclusion is that we can disregard exchange rate in certain cases if our investment horizon are long term however in other circumstances it is always advice to consider exchange rate risk while making any investment commitment. If done properly with appropriate hedging mechanism like options, forward, futures or swaps exchange rate volatility or risk can provides additional 100-500 basis points of return above normal ROI.

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Growth and Value Investing

June 16, 2012

Do you think global macroeconomic environment like exiting of Greece from Euro Zone & slump in US growth or downward pressure of growth in Asian economy should affect your decision as value investor? I believe no.

Value investing and economic growth is not always 100% synonymous. As the name suggest value investing is more about investing on fundamental of business rather than economic condition. Economic growth can improve the prospect of value investing but it is not the core feature of value investing.

No person is better value investor than warren buffet. Warren Buffet philosophy is that an investor should identify investing as life time opportunity and in his whole life he should not invest in more than 10-15 companies.

Yes it’s true that not everyone can become Warren Buffet but an investor can adopt his philosophy of value investing as life opportunity. Now a day’s investors are giving more emphasis on technical analysis to earn short term return that makes the market volatile and even doesn’t show real picture.

Over a period of industry life cycle fundamental value of companies in an industry comes to an average. There may be some companies that give higher return in initial years however there are some which provides low return but over a period of industry life cycle all of them come to an average.

GDP growth rate of an economy should not impact the decision of value investor. All the major value investor like Warrant Buffet, Rakesh Jhunjunwala earn their fortune during the gloom period of economy cycle i.e. somewhat current global economy condition.

Investing is more about understanding the business. If you understand business very well then it doesn’t matter in which industry you play like retail, finance, technology, infrastructure etc. Warrant Buffet never invested in technology sector (except in the recent years when he invested in Microsoft) though we saw boom and bust of technology sector in the last one and half decade. Warren Buffet says “I don’t understand how technology works so I don’t want to invest; I understand how insurance works so I invest in it”.

Value investor should always focus on basic fundamental of business like-

Will the company able to sell its product by beating competitor?

Do they differentiate them with their competitors?

Is the growth sustainable? How they are evolving themselves in changing circumstances?

How they will earn their future cash flow (discounting it with appropriate rate)?

Does the company undervalued?

Growth and value investing are not 100% synchronized. However in gloom and doom economic condition there are more chances to get more value investing opportunities because during the period lot of companies deleverage themselves, invest more on R & D and hold lots of cash to take advantage of low base to future high return.

Current Indian scenario is perfect platform for value investing as equity market is almost bottoming out with below average 12 P/E ratios, hugely depreciated currency, high fiscal & current account deficit and high inflation & interest rate and global uncertainty. These tough conditions put pressure on companies to restructure their business & financial model to leap forward for future growth trajectory. In these conditions there are lots of values investing opportunity an investor just need to indentify it.

How to indentify value investing opportunities:

Look for companies with low P/E and P/BV multiple

Look for companies with Optimal Capital structure

Look for companies with good future free cash flow generation capacity

Look for low EV/EBIT ratio (Enterprise Value ratio considers capital structure of a company. Two companies may have same EV ratio however market capitalization of one company may differs with other due to availability of more or less debt as compare to its peer)

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How to avoid using tax payers’ money and maintain optimum capital structure to maximize shareholders value?

June 2, 2011

Every organization or banks main aim or motto is to maximize shareholders value. However shareholders were always concern about financial distress situation where they have to dilute their share to pay debt holders or govt. need to step in and use taxpayers’ money to bail out banks/institutions.

We have faced these kind of similar situation during 2008 financial crisis where billion of $ i.e. tax payers money were used to bail out several banks. How to undo this kind of financial distress situation & avoid using tax payers’ money? One answer to this question is adding contingent capital (coco bonds) in capital structure.

What is contingent capital? Contingent capital is a debt that converts automatically to equity after some triggering event like decline in the market value of equity or capital below threshold limit. Contingent capital is likely to play a very important role in new BASEL III agreement. As per estimate banks need to issue $ 1 trillion of contingent capital to replace existing security that no longer qualified as regulatory capital.

However generally contingent capital (coco bonds) are tied with certain regulatory ratio like capital ratio (core Tier 1 capital), once the banks breaches the ratio then the debt automatically gets converted into equity to avoid financial distress situation. However problem with this concept is that it is regulatory based not market based and it transfers wealth from shareholders to bondholders and kills the main motto maximizing shareholders value (Creating value for shareholders means creating value for all the stakeholders) as conversion takes place at predefined price or at current market rate.

Capital ratios are calculated on quarterly basis and doesn’t provide true market impact of current situation & can’t handle market manipulation properly.

 Mean & Median (Core Tier-1 Ratio in 2008) of 50 major banks (%) 

March 31

June 30

Sept. 30

Dec. 31

Mean

8.07

8.14

8.16

9.12

Median

7.88

7.92

7.89

9.14

By comparing September 30 ratio with March 31 and June 30 ratio we can hardly make out occurrence of any financial distress situation but market reality was totally different as we saw during the crisis.

COCO bond seems ideal instrument to maximize shareholders value however they are not. In February 2011 Credit Suisse issued a coco bond that gets converted into equity whenever bank’s core tier 1 capital falls below 7%. However regulator can also force conversion if it sees that credit Suisse will need public fund to avoid insolvency. The conversion price was fixed at minimum of $ 20. As per these characteristics this bond seems risky.

First, trigger is based on capital ratio which is an accounting number therefore will be different from the market based measure of financial leverage, especially during financial crisis. Hence, there is no way to predict stock price at the time of conversion.

Second, if the stock price at the time of conversion is less than $ 20 then bondholders will incur significant loss.

Third, the possibility that regulators can force conversion before the trigger is reached creates an additional risk which is difficult to price. Though the bond was successful among retail investor but its base was very limited due to its riskiness.

Better contingent capital should be linked to current market situation and triggers are based on current stock price / market value of asset.

Generally market based trigger are criticized as they create instability. Bondholders has incentive to short sell shares to trigger conversion and at the same time fear of huge dilution makes shareholders sell their share and create death-spiral for a company.

What’s the challenge?

Main challenge in issuing these kinds of debt instrument is that instruments should carry minimum risk so that it can be catered to mass risk-averse investors and simultaneously protecting the motto of maximizing shareholders value. In normal convertible bonds wealth gets transferred from equity holders to debt holders. Shareholders don’t prefer these instruments in company’s capital structure.

What will be the ideal instrument that avoid share dilution, protect the money of contingent bondholders and handle market manipulation or panic perfectly?

CALL OPTION MARKET TRIGGER CONVERTIBLE (COMTC) BOND can be ideal contingent bond that can be issued above 20-30 basis point of risk-free bond and caters to mass risk-averse investors who know they will be paid at the time of financial distress situation.

How does COMTC works?  

COMTC bonds target to risk-averse investors and provides return above normal risk free bond. This instrument carry forced right to get paid at the time of financial distress situation. It carries a conversion trigger point which is less than then current market price. However in order to avoid market manipulation & panic shareholders got pre-emptive rights to buy-back shares from bondholders so that they can avoid any conversion that results from market manipulation or panic. At the same time in order to avoid huge dilution shareholders got the right to issue share (right issue) at the same conversion price and pay back the bondholders and maintain proper capital structure.  As bondholders will be paid back they have no incentive to hedge their investment by shorting the stock when the leverage ratio approaches the trigger point.

Why conversion trigger price is lower to current market price?

Conversion price of COMTC bond should be less than the trigger price. Suppose the market price of $ 10 share will come down to $ 5 during financial distress situation. In this case conversion price of the bond should be fixed at below trigger price say $ 1. We can understand this with an example.

Example:      Senior Debt    –     $ 1000

Equity Capital –   $ 10*7 = $ 70 (7 share with face value of $ 10)

COMTC          –        $ 30

Scenario 1    (Financial Distress Situation) = Market Price $ 5

Conversion Price = $ 5 (Conversion price = Market Price)

New diluted Share price = (6*5+7*5)/13 or (30+35)/13 or 65/13 = $ 5 per share

(Assume that repayment will be made after conversion)

Total Value of Assets = 1000+65 = $ 1065

Shareholders will exercise his option of right issue & pay back bondholder at its par value till the time value of assets is $ 1065. If value goes below $ 1065 shareholders will not exercise his call option and all the value above $ 1000 will be shared between bondholders & shareholders at the time financial distress or bankruptcy.

Scenario 2    (Financial Distress Situation) = Market Price $ 5

Conversion Price = $ 1

New diluted Share price = (7*5+30*1)/ (7+30) or (35+30)/37 or 65/37 = $ 1.76 per share (Assume that repayment will be made after conversion)

Total Value of Assets = 1000+65 = $ 1065

Shareholders will exercise his option of right issue & pay back bondholder till the time value of assets is $ 1037 or market value of share is $1. If the market value goes below $1 or total assets value becomes less than 1037 shareholders will not exercise his call option and all the value above $ 1000 will be shared between bondholders & shareholders.

Thus with $ 1 conversion price, bondholders become shareholder when value falls below $ 1037. With $ 5 conversion they become shareholders when value falls below $ 1065. Lower conversion price clearly reduces riskiness of convertible debt which lowers financial distress and makes the security more marketable among fixed income investor.

How COMTC bonds are different from COCO bonds?

COMTC BONDS

COCO BONDS

COMTC bonds are market triggered bonds that provides true financial leverage Normally COCO bonds are regulatory triggered bond i.e. capital ratio. Such mechanism are accounting measure and  doesn’t work when company’s capital structure deteriorate rapidly
Regulators can’t intervene as it is totally market based Regulators are aware that capital ratios are stale, they may be tempted to intervene and pull the trigger themselves and this regulatory risk may difficult to asses, even for major credit rating agency.
COMTC bonds are risk-averse bond, it can easily marketable & cater to mass market. COCO bonds are difficult to market as investors know that capital ratio doesn’t provide true picture so in order to mitigate risk they demand higher spread however issuer thinks firms financial distress risk is lower and reluctant to pay higher risk premium.

Conclusion

COMTC bonds are risk-averse bond that can be targeted to mass market as it provides assurance that bondholders will be paid at the time of financial distress. These are market related bonds triggered at certain market price or market value of assets. It considers current financial leverage and provides absence of regulatory intervention. All the normal bonds carry tax deductible interest rate and in order to make COMTC bonds attractive it should also be tax deductible. These bonds can be issued by any institutions apart from bank to prevent financial distress situation and maintain optimal capital structure.

COMTC bonds are superior to COCO bonds and one of the best debt instruments to be part of organizations/banks capital structure.

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Shareholders Value Creation

January 6, 2011

How to create value for your organization? Why TSR (Total Shareholders Return) is the best metric for value creation? Why is it difficult to create sustainable value? How to build sustainable value creation strategy? Why CSR & brand value change not consider as a part of TSR? Why multiple compressions are so difficult to beat? Why investors & analyst discounts valuation multiple? How to transit majority investors without eroding TSR? How to create value in low growth economy? How to play your strategy with sustainable TSR matrix as per investors eye? Why investors communication is so important for value creation? Which strategy you should use for value creation? How to use value creation scenarios? Why cash strategy is so important in low growth economy?

If all these questions bother you before developing your company’s corporate strategy/value creation strategy then you must see New Year’s complimentary presentation

Shareholders Value Creation – “A handy e-book on how to create sustainable shareholders value”

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Granular Business Portfolio Matrix

November 24, 2010

GE developed 9-box matrix strategy to manage portfolio of business when business grows to more than 150 business units.

In today’s global environment where world is flat, global economy, workforce & businesses are integrated, boundaries are narrowed traditional 9-box matrix is not very useful for managing portfolio of business. It requires more granular approach towards business portfolio.

This presentation is an advanced version of “traditional matrix (9-box) business portfolio strategy”.

Manage business portfolio in new multi-power economy with (2-way 9-box) matrix strategy

Organization Vision & Corporate Strategy

November 19, 2010

Every organization has a vision & in order to achieve that vision organization develops corporate strategy.

How to develop an optimal corporate strategy that carries both Blue Ocean & Red Ocean products?

Organization Vision & Corporate Strategy

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Strategy Control Map (Market Capitalization Dynamics)

October 8, 2010

Strategic Control Map (Matrix) is based on market capitalization dynamics to help companies identify their biggest opportunities and threats and boost their odds of hunting for acquisition targets rather than being hunted themselves.

Please follow the below mentioned link to see 1 slide presentation on my slideshare account.

Strategy Control Map Matrix

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Shareholders Value Creation through Price Optimization (SVC-4)

September 2, 2010

Does your organization create appropriate value with Pricing Policy? Normally organization doesn’t give as importance to pricing as to Volume growth & Cost optimization however reality is that Price optimization creates more value than Volume growth & cost optimization.

 

 # Research by one of the top Consulting Firm

Irony is that price optimization is overlooked as key business driver though for many businesses price optimization plays major driver of growth than volume or cost optimization.

Now the question arises why haven’t more organizations use price optimization for value creation. Following are the challenges for not adopting price optimization-

  • Belief that price is driven by external forces: Many businesses mistakenly believe that they must passively accept prices across all products, markets and channels 
  • Sales force resistance: This is particularly the case when people are rewarded on the basis of sales volume 
  • Information collection: Difficulty obtaining the necessary information from existing systems is a reason why companies may ignore potential value from price optimization
  • Perceived complexity: It generally requires thoughtful manipulation, often at the level of individual transaction

Management’s challenge is to achieve optimum price in the existing market. Normally following approaches are dominated the pricing strategy-

Cost Plus: It has an advantage of simplicity in implementation & administration however there is a high risk of leaving value on the table if some customers are prepared to pay higher price

Customer Value: Pricing according to the customer value approach involves setting prices to capture the full value customers place on a product or service. The advantage of this approach versus cost plus pricing is higher profit margins can be achieved through the capture of the customer surplus. However the main drawbacks are complexities involved in implementation – how to determine customer utility for each product line and how to account for difference in the price a customer is ready to pay

Penetration Pricing: Pricing low to gain market share in anticipation of scale or experienced economies however with product lifecycles becoming shorter and shorter, the risk inherent in penetration pricing is that the product may not endure long enough to deliver the expected savings

Skimming:  A skimming strategy is essentially the opposite of penetration pricing — pricing high to maximize margin from customers ready to pay the most however success of skimming strategy depends on the ease of entry by competition, since high margins are an open invitation to new entrants

Company’s pricing strategy depends upon market position, stage of product life cycle & customer demand however pricing choice should be driven my marketing strategy & to maximize shareholders valueSupply & Demand

How will current and future supply, demand, and cost dynamics affect the overall industry price levels in the foreseeable future? Although managers are often well versed in monitoring demand drivers and attuned to responding to the threat of new entrants, market and customer strategies are typically less effectively managed. Therefore for many companies these last two hold the greatest potential for where additional value can be captured.

 Product & Marketing Strategy

The key issue in product and market strategy is determining the “list price,” the seller’s published price for a service, product line or SKU. The Stock Keeping Unit (SKU) is the level at which price optimization is most powerful, since customer price sensitivity can frequently be found to vary according to the colors, dimension or other variations in the characteristics of a product.

The psychology of list prices is an important factor, since the price acts as a reference point for customers and conveys a range of signals about the product. The list price must be set at a point that preserves a product’s price / benefit advantage in the eyes of customers while maximizing profitability.

The list price is generally the base against which discounts and allowances are taken. Therefore, it needs to be high enough to offset the expected discounts, freight recoveries and so on. A higher list price allows managers a greater degree of freedom in terms of offering a range of customer discounts. However, a list price too high may push the product into an inappropriately elevated price bracket in the eyes of customers.

Optimizing list price is easily grasped in principle, but in practice it is often ignored or not successfully implemented. Managers can identify the potential opportunities for value creation when they develop an improved understanding of the forces influencing achievable list prices. This requires investigation of factors such as: 

• Margin bands

• Regional variations in margin

• Freight rates

• Pricing conventions in the industry (early payment discounts)

• Distribution channels

Analysis of price sensitivity often reveals that the optimal list price can vary among geographic markets, products bundles or product lines within a category. Each of these areas represents an opportunity to enhance margins.

 Figure: A

 Figure A reveals that client was able to identify margin bands based on customer purchase volumes of a fast moving consumer product and to implement a new list price structure with the potential to add significantly to the value of the company.

The principal outcomes and benefits companies obtain through product and market price optimization strategies are:

• A restructured list price program that reflects the varying competitive intensity that enables the seller to capture more of the customer surplus

• Identification of opportunities to increase value through price differentiation between segments.

 Figure: B

Figure B shows the magnitude of margin increases available on low volume items in one market for fabricated products. Higher list prices were possible in this case due to a combination of lower customer price sensitivity on slow moving items purchased only infrequently and less intense competition in the supply of many low volume products. Previously, this manufacturer had maintained a standard margin as its pricing policy across all SKUs for each type of product. Analysis of price sensitivity revealed that while intense competition on high volume SKUs (D & E) required company to “meet the market” on price margins could be dramatically improved on low volume lines. This was because competition on low volume SKUs was typically less intense and infrequent purchases by customers made them less sensitive to the price. Higher margins on low volume SKUs produced a significantly higher contribution and helped ensure that the company could remain competitive on high volume products.

This example illustrates how a better understanding of relative price sensitivity of customers enables a more sophisticated approach to list prices, and can result in significant potential for value creation.

Customer Strategy

The key to customer pricing is maintaining loyalty while achieving the highest prices possible that are appropriate to the volumes sold to the customer. It’s a delicate balance and is based largely on the psychology of discounting.

In many companies, senior management’s understanding of price variation at the customer level is poor with the actual price ultimately determined by the sales force. Management needs to carefully monitor and evaluate customer pricing. Without an appropriate pricing framework, specific discount schedules and aligned performance incentives, sales staff with too much autonomy can quickly erode company profits and even provoke competitive responses that destroy value through out the market.

The key issue is identifying and managing the factors that have the potential to erode list price. These include:

• Discount schedules

• Rebates

• Volume bonuses

• Promotional bonuses

• Cooperative advertising/marketing

• Allowances

• Payment terms

• Buybacks

Performing a transaction level analysis can be a powerful tool for value creation, enabling managers to tighten the relationship between volume and price. In particular, it helps companies increase the contribution from low volume customers that may have obtained discounts or favorable terms that are otherwise reserved for high volume purchaser. Transaction level analysis also allows managers to directly assess:

• The value of customer segments and accounts, therefore determining the appropriate allocation of sales effort

• The net effect on profit of discounts, bonuses and other incentives given to particular sales channels

One indirect benefit is the increased price discipline in the overall market that results form a rational and consistent approach by key players, thus reducing the risk of irrational competition destroying margins for all. Another application of a rational pricing strategy is to examine price differential between small and large companies. Often, small customer accounts can occupy a disproportional amount of sales force time and provide relatively small returns for effort.

Pricing Frameworks to Improve Shareholders Value

Managers are under increasing pressure to lift returns and to focus on improving shareholder value. Institutional investors are becoming increasingly vocal in demanding cost reductions and rationalization programs however they should devote extra attention to the revenue side and the potential for price optimization. A robust pricing framework has the potential to improve shareholders value through:

• Establishing and maintaining list prices that effectively balance profit maximization with product positioning

• Preventing erosion of prices at the customer level through a careful customer pricing and discount strategy.

Senior managers therefore need to regularly assess pricing policy and administration. Key questions to consider:

• Does the company pricing policy recognize differences in regional market dynamics? 

• Is pricing segmented to recognize the variations in perceived value among different customer groups? 

• Is there a transparent discount policy based on customer relationship value? 

• Who has discretion to modify prices? What criteria are required? 

If an organization can acknowledge the importance of price as a driver of shareholders value, part of the battle is won. Once managers and sales people incorporate this awareness price into their everyday monitoring of performance, the company will start to create long-term value for its shareholders.

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How Divestiture helps in restructuring corporate portfolio of business?

July 6, 2010

In order to achieve growth organizations give more importance to Merger & Acquisition. Merger & Acquisition plays pivotal role in organizations Corporate Strategy & maintaining portfolio of business to achieve high return on capital & growth. However situation arises once organization diversify itself into various businesses and its corporate portfolio becomes so huge that it is very difficult to maximize return on capital & take advantage of new growth opportunities.

Divestitures and carve-out plays a very important role in restructuring organizations corporate portfolio to maximize return & growth.

Normally organization doesn’t give as much importance to divestitures as to M & A however if Divestiture/Carve-out activity carried out timely & sequencely then it can provide huge benefit in terms of shareholders value, future growth and cash flow.

Why organizations do Divestiture

The reasons to divest a business are wide-ranging, from short-term cash generation to a desire to restructure the business portfolio by spinning off non-core or low-performing assets. And regardless of the driving force behind a divestiture, the overall objective of most companies is to get the best possible return—i.e., the highest price.

In order to get optimum return from divestiture organizations should do it in an accelerated time frame. Best practice is to make sure that to-be-divested units are configured for maximum appeal to potential buyer, and putting effective program management in place to manage the complexity of divestiture.

Divestiture Strategy

In order to develop its divestiture strategy, a company should comprehensively assess its corporate portfolio to identify opportunities for value creation. This entails four basic steps:

  • Aligning assets with the business’ best opportunities
  • Developing a timing and sequencing strategy for separation & divestiture  transaction
  • Define boundaries of assets being considered for divestiture
  • Packaging the divestiture assets for maximum value

Aligning assets with the business’ best opportunities

Organization should carefully study the overall business’ growth opportunities, and the capital required for each business in the portfolio to take advantage of those opportunities. This perspective then must be paired with an understanding of the potential value of each business to an external owner compared to its worth to the divesting company.

Timing & Sequencing Strategy

Parent company should determine the most advantageous timing  & sequencing strategy for the divestiture and its execution. In most instances, it is best to start with carving-out of a business unit before the sale process. Following are the benefits of carve-out.

     Transparency

Potential buyers require full transparency of an asset’s tangible and intangible value, contracts, service relationships and, of course, revenues and costs. Transparency will be easier to achieve if the divestiture target is a separate legal or organizational entity (which includes having its own accounting systems and boundaries).

      Avoid Uncovering Bad News

The second reason to begin the carve-out process early is that having a concrete and defined divestiture target helps to avoid uncovering any bad news during the sale process that would be an obstacle to negotiations with potential buyers. Furthermore, having already executed the carving out of the asset to be sold enables the selling company to quickly capitalize on emerging sales opportunities—such as a sudden recovery of M&A markets or the appearance of an unexpected potential buyer.

Define Boundaries of Divestiture Target

Once the timing and sequencing of the divestiture are determined, a company must carefully define the boundaries of the divestiture target, taking into consideration the strategic fit of the business unit as a whole and its constituent parts within the parent company. For example, one business function of a to-be-divested business unit might provide research services to the rest of the parent company, or possess valuable technical knowledge.

In addition, the future intended scope of the parent business after the divestiture should be considered to ensure potentially valuable assets are not jettisoned.

Packaging the divestiture assets for maximum value

The final step is to make the divestment target as attractive as possible to the most likely acquirers. Stopping at the prior step and focusing strictly on the to-be-divested business unit’s boundaries from an internal viewpoint likely would not result in the most attractive asset from a buyer’s perspective. For example, some investors desire complete, operationally functioning entities.

To facilitate a transaction the divesting company would need to provide a unit meeting that description from the buyer’s perspective and further adjust the boundaries of the to-be-divested organization if needed.

Divestiture Strategy Execution

Once it is clear which assets to divest and how it should be packaged, a number of best practices can help ensure successful execution.

Effective program management should be put in place to avoid underestimating the impact of divestiture on daily business.

Second, a company must plan for the future success of the divestiture target, and make sure accountability between the parent company and the to-be-divested organization is clearly defined.

Finally, it is vital for a divesting company to maintain an open dialogue and stay flexible as the transaction unfolds.

British Petroleum’s master carve-out & divestiture strategy

BP captured $9 billion in cash by divesting its petrochemicals units—up to $2 billion more than Wall Street analysts had expected. In crafting the divestiture program, BP’s corporate development experts defined the major steps needed to separate and sell the $25 billion-a year petrochemicals business. First, the unit was carved out as a standalone business under its own name—Innovene—so it could float on the New York Stock Exchange.

The carve-out, making Innovene the world’s fifth largest petrochemical and polymer company. BP’s dedicated corporate development team determined the key phases, major milestones, work streams and project teams needed to deliver the complex divestment. The whole process involved a detailed assessment of the path to a rapid separation, accelerating the process by two months and greatly enhancing BP’s chances of obtaining the best possible valuation in an IPO. As soon as Innovene was legally a separate entity, the priority turned to IPO preparation, developing the necessary sales presentations for the underwriters and preparing the flotation prospectus. Then the BP team made its move to woo potential buyers, which meant getting ready for the prospective acquirers’ due diligence procedures—a major work stream in it. The multiple options strategy paid off brilliantly, sparking a successful bid from specialty chemicals producer INEOS. The $9 billion deal represented one of the largest-ever leveraged buyouts and instantly made INEOS one of the world’s largest chemical companies. BP had completed a huge divestiture only a year after declaring its intent to sell.

It is generally easier to pursue divestiture in robust economy than during a downturn. Companies should use divestitures to enable much more substantial and long-lasting change. Success in the current economic environment can hinge on effective portfolio rebalancing and efficient divestiture execution. Companies that configure business units for maximum value, manage the complexity, ensure accountability and embrace flexibility throughout the divestiture process improve their likelihood of success. For many companies, there is no better time than the present to pursue divestitures to position themselves for high performance when economic conditions ultimately improve.

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How to use “Business Portfolio Matrix” strategy to get maximum out of diversified business units?

March 29, 2010

When large organization diversify themselves into different business units then after sometime it becomes very difficult for an organization to take decision where to put more cash and where less. Lots of large organization find themselves in this kind of situation where they need to take decision of providing cash to different businesses in order to get maximum result. GE is one of the organizations which find itself in this kind of situation when their business grows to 150 separate business units.

It is very difficult for an organization to allocate cash just on the basis of projected future results. This can be very dicey as each individual makes projection differently as per his thinking. Apart from this, there are different kinds of businesses some are capital intensive, others give more impetus to advertisement or brand etc.

How to solve this kind situation? How to allocate cash so that a particular business gets required cash?

Business Portfolio Matrix is one of the ways to solve this kind of situation. GE used Matrix to make decision on their diversified business portfolio.

In order to use matrix we need to know Industry Attractiveness of business units and organization’s Business Position in a particular business unit. This provides real position of a company in an industry.

Industry Attractiveness

Industry size
Growth Rate (substitute industries growth rate, capability & expansion should be considered before identify growth of the industry)
Number of Competitors
Current Profitability
Entry Barrier
Industry’s future Expansion potential / Govt. Regulation
Industry approach towards social responsibility
Customer outlook towards industry

Industry attractiveness can be identified by getting information of all the above mentioned points. Industry size is very important, how much players can an industry accommodate? What’s the future expansion potential of a particular industry, for example if you are in Outsourcing (BPO/KPO) industry then there is huge opportunity because BPO/KPO industry is growing very fast and will grow for a very long period of time and it can expand itself in other areas also like initially when BPO was started it was used mainly for call center or transaction processing work but now today all the high-end services like business analysis etc. are served by outsourcing industry. On the other hand, industry like Textile which is growing but growth rate is not very fast and there future expansion depends upon govt. regulation and consumer behavior.

Industry’s attractiveness depends upon growth rate of industry. Organization should find out industry’s past, current & future growth rate. While identifying industry growth rate- substitute industries growth rate, capability & future expansion should also be considered.

Business Position

Company’s business position as compare to competitors (competitive sustainable advantage)
Core competencies
Financial position
Market share / Brand equity
Use of technology in business
Bargaining power over supplier
Customer loyalty towards business (Corporate Social Responsibility)
Is the company natural owner of business?

What is the company’s business position as compare to competitors? Does business unit has sustainable competitive advantage as compare to its competitors?

 “Business Portfolio Matrix” Strategy

In “Business Portfolio Matrix” strategy, the major hurdle for any organization is to know how to plot businesses in these 9 columns.

In the above mentioned Matrix X-axis shows Industry Attractiveness however Y-axis shows Organization’s Business Position. As we see all top right corners are marked in green and these are the business that will provide good returns and has huge growth potential. These businesses require more cash. Organization should try to fulfill cash requirement of this segment so that business units can obtain business advantages before their competitors. It should not happen that organization couldn’t grow business due to lack of resources. These are the highly attractive industry categories where organization’s business units position is also high-medium category.

After putting cash in high-growth business if there are any cash left then it should be used selectively in business units marked in yellow. These are the business units where Industry Attractiveness is high but company’s position is low or company’s position is high as compare to its competitors but industry attractiveness is low. In between them there is a category where industry attractiveness and business position both are in medium category. Organization should first put money in this category of businesses afterwards if there is any money left then it should be used in other two extreme categories on the basis of selective investment.

Investing in these two categories are very critical decision, this need to analyze properly before making any decision. Is it viable to continue business in this category even though company’s position is good? An organization should try to make selective investment in these kinds of businesses and once when they find some other attractive business opportunities that require cash in highly attractive industry then they should harvest/divest investment in existing business and put cash in attractive growth oriented industry.

Other selective category where company’s position is low but industry attractiveness is high. This is another critical decision, first it should be analyzed whether business unit is showing poor performance due to lack of resources or any other reason. Can business units will grow if additional resources will be allocated? If poor performance is due to some other reason then it should be analyzed properly before taking any cash allocation decision.

It is always better to put money in a high growth oriented industry rather than in low growth oriented industry even though company’s performance is better as compare to its competitor in low growth industry.

Other 3 lower category of matrix marked in orange should be harvest/divested immediately and generated cash shall be allocated in upper & middle category of business units as per their requirement.

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